NSH
3–4
COL
Final · L
Nashville Predators
NSH · 42-32-8
3–4
FinalL
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 51-24-7
1ST2ND3RDT
NSH
142809321
COL
31805111434
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the Predators trail the season series 0–4
NSH 42-32-8 · COL 51-24-7 · Meeting 4 this season — the Predators trail the season series 0–4
Predators fell to the Avalanche
The Predators were outchanced (3.0 to 1.5 expected goals) and lost 3–4. MacKinnon's winner came with 1:42 left. Alexandar Georgiev allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 3.0 expected goals to 1.5, on 34 and 21 shots on goal.
NSH 1.5 xG · 21 shots
COL 3.0 xG · 34 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
0.2 · 1.8
2nd
0.8 · 0.2
3rd
0.5 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Devon Toews · 1st 00:28 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
2
Nathan MacKinnon · 1st 03:20 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Kiefer Sherwood · 1st 05:42 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Nathan MacKinnon · 1st 13:14 · 1–3 · backhand shot, a good chance (23%)
5
Luke Evangelista · 2nd 02:32 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Kiefer Sherwood · 2nd 07:08 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
7
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 18:18 · 3–4 · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Predators win 23.
NSH 23%COL 77%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Predators shoot this way
Avalanche shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Devon Toews · 1st 00:28 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
2
Nathan MacKinnon · 1st 03:20 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Kiefer Sherwood · 1st 05:42 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Nathan MacKinnon · 1st 13:14 · 1–3
Backhand shot, a good chance (23%)
5
Luke Evangelista · 2nd 02:32 · 2–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Kiefer Sherwood · 2nd 07:08 · PP · 3–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
7
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 18:18 · GWG · 3–4
Snap shot, a good chance (11%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
30/34 saves · 4 GA · 3.0 xGA
Allowed 1.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
18/21 saves · 3 GA · 1.5 xGA
Allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
