Nashville Predators
NSH · 12-12-3
3–6
FinalL
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 17-13-0
1ST2ND3RDT
NSH
17211014332
EDM
314211112637
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Predators trail the season series 0–2
NSH 12-12-3 · EDM 17-13-0 · Meeting 2 this season — the Predators trail the season series 0–2
Predators fell to the Oilers
Chances were even (3.2 to 3.1 expected goals); the Predators lost 3–6. Kevin Lankinen allowed 1.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.2 expected goals to 3.1, on 32 and 37 shots on goal.
NSH 3.2 xG · 32 shots
EDM 3.1 xG · 37 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
1.0 · 1.7
2nd
1.4 · 0.7
3rd
0.9 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Cody Glass · 1st 01:15 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
2
Zach Hyman · 1st 08:19 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Zach Hyman · 1st 14:50 · 1–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (19%)
4
Leon Draisaitl · 1st 19:55 · 1–3 · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
5
Ryan Johansen · 2nd 03:22 · 2–3 · snap shot, a good chance (10%)
6
Leon Draisaitl · 2nd 04:19 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
7
Dante Fabbro · 2nd 09:53 · 3–4 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
8
Connor McDavid · 2nd 18:55 · 3–5 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
9
Zach Hyman · 3rd 17:23 · 3–6 · poke shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Predators win 53.
NSH 53%EDM 47%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Cody Glass · 1st 01:15 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
2
Zach Hyman · 1st 08:19 · 1–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Zach Hyman · 1st 14:50 · 1–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (19%)
4
Leon Draisaitl · 1st 19:55 · PP · 1–3
Snap shot, a good chance (18%)
5
Ryan Johansen · 2nd 03:22 · 2–3
Snap shot, a good chance (10%)
6
Leon Draisaitl · 2nd 04:19 · GWG · 2–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
7
Dante Fabbro · 2nd 09:53 · 3–4
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
8
Connor McDavid · 2nd 18:55 · PP · 3–5
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
9
Zach Hyman · 3rd 17:23 · EN · 3–6
Poke shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
31/36 saves · 5 GA · 3.1 xGA
Allowed 1.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
29/32 saves · 3 GA · 3.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.