NSH
4–3
EDM
Final / OT · W
Nashville Predators
NSH · 13-13-4
4–3
Final / OTW
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 17-14-2
1ST2ND3RDOTT
NSH
1142901111435
EDM
1101131703333
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Predators trail the season series 1–2
NSH 13-13-4 · EDM 17-14-2 · Meeting 3 this season — the Predators trail the season series 1–2
Predators beat the Oilers
The Predators were outchanced (3.6 to 3.1 expected goals) but won it in overtime on Carrier's goal anyway. The Oilers scored 2 power-play goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Oilers created the better chances: 3.6 expected goals to 3.1, on 33 and 35 shots on goal.
NSH 3.1 xG · 35 shots
EDM 3.6 xG · 33 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.1 · 1.0
2nd · the swing
1.0 · 1.8
3rd
0.9 · 0.5
OT
0.1 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mattias Ekholm · 1st 04:35 · 1–0 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (39%)
2
Jesse Puljujarvi · 1st 08:42 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
3
Jordan Gross · 2nd 02:57 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
4
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · 2nd 04:22 · 2–2 · snap shot, a good chance (23%)
5
Matt Duchene · 2nd 12:02 · 3–2 · snap shot, a good chance (24%)
6
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · 3rd 01:51 · 3–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
7
Alexandre Carrier · OT 02:12 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Predators win 42.
NSH 42%EDM 58%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Predators shoot this way
Oilers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mattias Ekholm · 1st 04:35 · 1–0
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (39%)
2
Jesse Puljujarvi · 1st 08:42 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
3
Jordan Gross · 2nd 02:57 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
4
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · 2nd 04:22 · PP · 2–2
Snap shot, a good chance (23%)
5
Matt Duchene · 2nd 12:02 · PP · 3–2
Snap shot, a good chance (24%)
6
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · 3rd 01:51 · PP · 3–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
7
Alexandre Carrier · OT 02:12 · GWG · 4–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
30/33 saves · 3 GA · 3.6 xGA
Stopped 0.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
31/35 saves · 4 GA · 3.1 xGA
Allowed 0.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
