NSH
2–3
COL
Final / OT · L
Nashville Predators
NSH · 14-13-5
2–3
Final / OTL
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 19-11-2
1ST2ND3RDOTT
NSH
1151901401239
COL
0812111512346
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Predators trail the season series 0–3
NSH 14-13-5 · COL 19-11-2 · Meeting 3 this season — the Predators trail the season series 0–3
Predators fell to the Avalanche
The Predators let a 2–0 lead get away: the Avalanche came back with three unanswered goals — Compher's equalizer — and won it in overtime on Girard's goal. Alexandar Georgiev stopped 1.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 4.2 expected goals to 3.6, on 46 and 39 shots on goal.
NSH 3.6 xG · 39 shots
COL 4.2 xG · 46 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
1.8 · 0.8
2nd
0.6 · 1.5
3rd
0.9 · 1.6
OT
0.4 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Ryan Johansen · 1st 12:26 · 1–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (25%)
2
Matt Duchene · 2nd 06:22 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Mikko Rantanen · 2nd 12:46 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
4
J.T. Compher · 3rd 15:05 · 2–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Samuel Girard · OT 04:17 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Predators win 42.
NSH 42%COL 58%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Predators shoot this way
Avalanche shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Ryan Johansen · 1st 12:26 · PP · 1–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (25%)
2
Matt Duchene · 2nd 06:22 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Mikko Rantanen · 2nd 12:46 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
4
J.T. Compher · 3rd 15:05 · 2–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Samuel Girard · OT 04:17 · GWG · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
43/46 saves · 3 GA · 4.2 xGA
Stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
37/39 saves · 2 GA · 3.6 xGA
Stopped 1.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
