Nashville Predators
NSH · 14-14-5
2–3
FinalL
Dallas Stars
DAL · 21-9-6
1ST2ND3RDT
NSH
0821307228
DAL
11214117333
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Predators trail the season series 0–3
NSH 14-14-5 · DAL 21-9-6 · Meeting 3 this season — the Predators trail the season series 0–3
Predators fell to the Stars
The Predators were outchanced (4.6 to 2.7 expected goals) and lost 2–3. Hintz's winner came with 0:53 left. Juuse Saros stopped 1.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Stars created the better chances: 4.6 expected goals to 2.7, on 33 and 28 shots on goal.
NSH 2.7 xG · 28 shots
DAL 4.6 xG · 33 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
0.4 · 1.7
2nd
1.8 · 0.8
3rd · the swing
0.5 · 2.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jamie Benn · 1st 01:19 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Filip Forsberg · 2nd 00:56 · 1–1 · snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (23%)
3
Roope Hintz · 2nd 02:15 · 1–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Yakov Trenin · 2nd 08:15 · 2–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Roope Hintz · 3rd 19:07 · 2–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (14%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Predators win 24.
NSH 24%DAL 76%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jamie Benn · 1st 01:19 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Filip Forsberg · 2nd 00:56 · 1–1
Snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (23%)
3
Roope Hintz · 2nd 02:15 · PP · 1–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Yakov Trenin · 2nd 08:15 · SH · 2–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Roope Hintz · 3rd 19:07 · GWG · 2–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (14%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
30/33 saves · 3 GA · 4.6 xGA
Stopped 1.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
26/28 saves · 2 GA · 2.7 xGA
Stopped 0.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.