NSH
3–5
BUF
Final · L
Nashville Predators
NSH · 19-17-6
3–5
FinalL
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 21-18-2
1ST2ND3RDT
NSH
15217019341
BUF
11429210533
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Predators trail the season series 0–1
NSH 19-17-6 · BUF 21-18-2 · First meeting this season — the Predators trail the season series 0–1
Predators fell to the Sabres
The Predators were outchanced (3.7 to 3.0 expected goals) and lost 3–5. Juuse Saros allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Sabres created the better chances: 3.7 expected goals to 3.0, on 33 and 41 shots on goal.
NSH 3.0 xG · 41 shots
BUF 3.7 xG · 33 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
0.2 · 1.6
2nd
1.8 · 1.0
3rd
1.0 · 1.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
· 1st 11:37 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (25%)
2
Roman Josi · 1st 15:23 · 1–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Dylan Cozens · 2nd 02:05 · 1–2 · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
4
Victor Olofsson · 2nd 08:58 · 1–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Jeremy Lauzon · 2nd 15:10 · 2–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Ryan Johansen · 2nd 15:50 · 3–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
7
Kyle Okposo · 3rd 06:43 · 3–4 · tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
8
Jack Quinn · 3rd 16:49 · 3–5 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Predators win 39.
NSH 39%BUF 61%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties← Predators shoot this way
Sabres shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
· 1st 11:37 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (25%)
2
Roman Josi · 1st 15:23 · PP · 1–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Dylan Cozens · 2nd 02:05 · 1–2
Snap shot, a good chance (18%)
4
Victor Olofsson · 2nd 08:58 · PP · 1–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Jeremy Lauzon · 2nd 15:10 · 2–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Ryan Johansen · 2nd 15:50 · 3–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
7
Kyle Okposo · 3rd 06:43 · SH · GWG · 3–4
Tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
8
Jack Quinn · 3rd 16:49 · 3–5
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
28/33 saves · 5 GA · 3.7 xGA
Allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
38/41 saves · 3 GA · 3.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
