NSH
5–3
LAK
Final · W
Nashville Predators
NSH · 22-18-6
5–3
FinalW
Los Angeles Kings
LAK · 25-17-6
1ST2ND3RDT
NSH
2908311528
LAK
112212010334
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
NSH 22-18-6 · LAK 25-17-6 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Predators beat the Kings
The Predators were outchanced (3.3 to 2.5 expected goals) but won 5–3 anyway. Pheonix Copley allowed 1.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Kings created the better chances: 3.3 expected goals to 2.5, on 34 and 28 shots on goal.
NSH 2.5 xG · 28 shots
LAK 3.3 xG · 34 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
0.6 · 1.5
2nd
0.9 · 1.4
3rd
0.9 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mikael Granlund · 1st 00:19 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Matt Duchene · 1st 00:39 · 2–0 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Sean Durzi · 1st 09:26 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
4
Adrian Kempe · 2nd 06:14 · 2–2 · deflected shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
5
Quinton Byfield · 2nd 17:04 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
6
Ryan Johansen · 3rd 08:44 · 3–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
7
Matt Duchene · 3rd 13:34 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
8
Cole Smith · 3rd 16:10 · 5–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Predators win 37.
NSH 37%LAK 63%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties← Predators shoot this way
Kings shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mikael Granlund · 1st 00:19 · 1–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Matt Duchene · 1st 00:39 · 2–0
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Sean Durzi · 1st 09:26 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
4
Adrian Kempe · 2nd 06:14 · 2–2
Deflected shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
5
Quinton Byfield · 2nd 17:04 · PP · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
6
Ryan Johansen · 3rd 08:44 · PP · 3–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
7
Matt Duchene · 3rd 13:34 · GWG · 4–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
8
Cole Smith · 3rd 16:10 · 5–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
1st period
1
Alexandre Carrier, Ryan Johansen · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
1–0
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
31/34 saves · 3 GA · 3.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
22/25 saves · 3 GA · 2.3 xGA
Allowed 0.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
