Nashville Predators
NSH · 24-19-6
1–5
FinalL
Vegas Golden Knights
VGK · 30-18-4
1ST2ND3RDT
NSH
1402011117
VGK
31211018530
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Predators trail the season series 0–2
NSH 24-19-6 · VGK 30-18-4 · Meeting 2 this season — the Predators trail the season series 0–2
Predators fell to the Golden Knights
The Predators were outchanced (3.6 to 1.7 expected goals) and lost 1–5. The Golden Knights owned the 1st period, 1.5 to 0.4 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Golden Knights created the better chances: 3.6 expected goals to 1.7, on 30 and 17 shots on goal.
NSH 1.7 xG · 17 shots
VGK 3.6 xG · 30 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
0.4 · 1.5
2nd
0.5 · 1.3
3rd
0.9 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Matt Duchene · 1st 05:04 · 1–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Michael Amadio · 1st 06:27 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
William Carrier · 1st 06:54 · 1–2 · wrist shot off the rush, a great chance (28%)
4
Phil Kessel · 1st 11:58 · 1–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (16%)
5
Chandler Stephenson · 2nd 02:58 · 1–4 · deflected shot, a good chance (16%)
6
Alex Pietrangelo · 3rd 19:00 · 1–5 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Predators win 21.
NSH 21%VGK 79%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Matt Duchene · 1st 05:04 · 1–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Michael Amadio · 1st 06:27 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
William Carrier · 1st 06:54 · GWG · 1–2
Wrist shot off the rush, a great chance (28%)
4
Phil Kessel · 1st 11:58 · 1–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (16%)
5
Chandler Stephenson · 2nd 02:58 · 1–4
Deflected shot, a good chance (16%)
6
Alex Pietrangelo · 3rd 19:00 · EN · 1–5
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
25/29 saves · 4 GA · 3.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
16/17 saves · 1 GA · 1.7 xGA
Stopped 0.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.