NSH
7–3
FLA
Final · W
Nashville Predators
NSH · 26-21-6
7–3
FinalW
Florida Panthers
FLA · 28-25-6
1ST2ND3RDT
NSH
3729210726
FLA
210011112333
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Predators lead the season series 1–0
NSH 26-21-6 · FLA 28-25-6 · First meeting this season — the Predators lead the season series 1–0
Predators beat the Panthers
Chances were even (2.9 to 3.1 expected goals); the Predators won 7–3. Sergei Bobrovsky allowed 2.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.9 expected goals to 3.1, on 26 and 33 shots on goal.
NSH 2.9 xG · 26 shots
FLA 3.1 xG · 33 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.8 · 0.7
2nd
1.0 · 1.4
3rd
1.1 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Tommy Novak · 1st 02:36 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Nick Cousins · 1st 07:55 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Matthew Tkachuk · 1st 12:09 · 1–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (19%)
4
Matt Duchene · 1st 12:56 · 2–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (10%)
5
Ryan Johansen · 1st 15:01 · 3–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Colton Sissons · 2nd 07:40 · 4–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (17%)
7
Roman Josi · 2nd 16:23 · 5–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
8
Tommy Novak · 3rd 08:58 · 6–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
9
Sam Reinhart · 3rd 09:48 · 6–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
10
Yakov Trenin · 3rd 14:14 · 7–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Predators win 47.
NSH 47%FLA 53%
Goals and penalties
10 goals · 0 penalties← Predators shoot this way
Panthers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Tommy Novak · 1st 02:36 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Nick Cousins · 1st 07:55 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Matthew Tkachuk · 1st 12:09 · 1–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (19%)
4
Matt Duchene · 1st 12:56 · 2–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (10%)
5
Ryan Johansen · 1st 15:01 · PP · 3–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Colton Sissons · 2nd 07:40 · GWG · 4–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (17%)
7
Roman Josi · 2nd 16:23 · 5–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
8
Tommy Novak · 3rd 08:58 · PP · 6–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
9
Sam Reinhart · 3rd 09:48 · PP · 6–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
10
Yakov Trenin · 3rd 14:14 · EN · 7–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
9
Aleksander Barkov, Brandon Montour · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6–3
No penalties
Goaltending
30/33 saves · 3 GA · 3.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
12/14 saves · 2 GA · 1.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
