Nashville Predators
NSH · 29-23-6
1–3
FinalL
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 30-21-9
1ST2ND3RDT
NSH
0170513125
PIT
0901738334
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Predators trail the season series 0–1
NSH 29-23-6 · PIT 30-21-9 · First meeting this season — the Predators trail the season series 0–1
Predators fell to the Penguins
The Predators were outchanced (3.2 to 2.2 expected goals) and lost 1–3. Zucker's winner came with 1:39 left. Juuse Saros stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Penguins created the better chances: 3.2 expected goals to 2.2, on 34 and 25 shots on goal.
NSH 2.2 xG · 25 shots
PIT 3.2 xG · 34 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.3 · 0.9
2nd · the swing
0.3 · 1.5
3rd
0.6 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mark Jankowski · 3rd 07:01 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a great chance (27%)
2
Sidney Crosby · 3rd 11:00 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
3
Jason Zucker · 3rd 18:21 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Bryan Rust · 3rd 19:53 · 1–3 · backhand shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Predators win 33.
NSH 33%PIT 67%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mark Jankowski · 3rd 07:01 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a great chance (27%)
2
Sidney Crosby · 3rd 11:00 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
3
Jason Zucker · 3rd 18:21 · GWG · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Bryan Rust · 3rd 19:53 · EN · 1–3
Backhand shot, into an empty net
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
3
Unassisted · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
1–2
No penalties
Goaltending
31/33 saves · 2 GA · 3.2 xGA
Stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
24/25 saves · 1 GA · 2.2 xGA
Stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.