NSH
2–1
DET
Final · W
Nashville Predators
NSH · 34-24-7
2–1
FinalW
Detroit Red Wings
DET · 30-28-9
1ST2ND3RDT
NSH
051813216
DET
01001118129
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
NSH 34-24-7 · DET 30-28-9 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Predators beat the Red Wings
The Predators were outchanced (3.1 to 1.7 expected goals) but won 2–1 anyway. Juuse Saros stopped 2.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Red Wings created the better chances: 3.1 expected goals to 1.7, on 29 and 16 shots on goal.
NSH 1.7 xG · 16 shots
DET 3.1 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.5 · 1.0
2nd
0.9 · 1.0
3rd · the swing
0.3 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Kiefer Sherwood · 2nd 10:58 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (23%)
2
Tommy Novak · 3rd 02:22 · 2–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Alex Chiasson · 3rd 17:44 · 2–1 · deflected shot, a great chance (30%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Predators win 26.
NSH 26%DET 74%
Goals and penalties
3 goals · 0 penalties← Predators shoot this way
Red Wings shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Kiefer Sherwood · 2nd 10:58 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (23%)
2
Tommy Novak · 3rd 02:22 · GWG · 2–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Alex Chiasson · 3rd 17:44 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 2–1
Deflected shot, a great chance (30%)
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
28/29 saves · 1 GA · 3.1 xGA
Stopped 2.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
14/16 saves · 2 GA · 1.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
