Nashville Predators
NSH · 34-25-8
2–3
Final / OTL
Winnipeg Jets
WPG · 39-28-3
1ST2ND3RDOTT
NSH
15081601220
WPG
0130921111334
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Predators trail the season series 1–2
NSH 34-25-8 · WPG 39-28-3 · Meeting 3 this season — the Predators trail the season series 1–2
Predators fell to the Jets
The Predators were outchanced (2.8 to 1.3 expected goals) and lost it in overtime on Pionk's goal.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Jets created the better chances: 2.8 expected goals to 1.3, on 34 and 20 shots on goal.
NSH 1.3 xG · 20 shots
WPG 2.8 xG · 34 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.3 · 0.8
2nd
0.5 · 0.5
3rd
0.5 · 1.0
OT
0.1 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Cody Glass · 1st 05:26 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Nikolaj Ehlers · 3rd 06:17 · 1–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Luke Evangelista · 3rd 06:51 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
4
Adam Lowry · 3rd 10:15 · 2–2 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (16%)
5
Neal Pionk · OT 00:55 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a great chance (50%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Predators win 24.
NSH 24%WPG 76%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Cody Glass · 1st 05:26 · 1–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Nikolaj Ehlers · 3rd 06:17 · 1–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Luke Evangelista · 3rd 06:51 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
4
Adam Lowry · 3rd 10:15 · 2–2
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (16%)
5
Neal Pionk · OT 00:55 · GWG · 2–3
Wrist shot, a great chance (50%)
1st period
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
31/34 saves · 3 GA · 2.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
18/20 saves · 2 GA · 1.3 xGA
Allowed 0.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.