Nashville Predators
NSH · 36-27-8
2–7
FinalL
Seattle Kraken
SEA · 40-24-8
1ST2ND3RDT
NSH
0111015216
SEA
213116410739
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Predators trail the season series 1–2
NSH 36-27-8 · SEA 40-24-8 · Meeting 3 this season — the Predators trail the season series 1–2
Predators fell to the Kraken
The Predators were outchanced (3.8 to 1.8 expected goals) and lost 2–7. Juuse Saros allowed 3.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Kraken created the better chances: 3.8 expected goals to 1.8, on 39 and 16 shots on goal.
NSH 1.8 xG · 16 shots
SEA 3.8 xG · 39 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
0.3 · 1.3
2nd
1.2 · 1.1
3rd
0.4 · 1.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Daniel Sprong · 1st 03:13 · 0–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (29%)
2
Eeli Tolvanen · 1st 17:37 · 0–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Tyson Barrie · 2nd 01:43 · 1–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (44%)
4
Eeli Tolvanen · 2nd 17:16 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
Matt Duchene · 3rd 00:53 · 2–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Adam Larsson · 3rd 03:37 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Matty Beniers · 3rd 08:13 · 2–5 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
8
Jared McCann · 3rd 10:47 · 2–6 · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
9
Oliver Bjorkstrand · 3rd 12:35 · 2–7 · bat shot, a good chance (16%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Predators win 21.
NSH 21%SEA 79%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Daniel Sprong · 1st 03:13 · 0–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (29%)
2
Eeli Tolvanen · 1st 17:37 · PP · 0–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Tyson Barrie · 2nd 01:43 · 1–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (44%)
4
Eeli Tolvanen · 2nd 17:16 · GWG · 1–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
Matt Duchene · 3rd 00:53 · 2–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Adam Larsson · 3rd 03:37 · 2–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Matty Beniers · 3rd 08:13 · 2–5
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
8
Jared McCann · 3rd 10:47 · 2–6
Snap shot, a good chance (18%)
9
Oliver Bjorkstrand · 3rd 12:35 · 2–7
Bat shot, a good chance (16%)
1st period
2nd period
4
Unassisted · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
1–3
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
32/39 saves · 7 GA · 3.8 xGA
Allowed 3.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
14/16 saves · 2 GA · 1.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.