Nashville Predators
NSH · 36-28-8
2–3
FinalL
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 44-20-9
1ST2ND3RDT
NSH
0120429225
TOR
110110114334
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Predators trail the season series 0–2
NSH 36-28-8 · TOR 44-20-9 · Meeting 2 this season — the Predators trail the season series 0–2
Predators fell to the Maple Leafs
The Predators were outchanced (3.7 to 2.2 expected goals) and lost 2–3. The Maple Leafs scored 2 power-play goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Maple Leafs created the better chances: 3.7 expected goals to 2.2, on 34 and 25 shots on goal.
NSH 2.2 xG · 25 shots
TOR 3.7 xG · 34 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
0.5 · 1.4
2nd
0.8 · 0.9
3rd
0.9 · 1.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
John Tavares · 1st 18:06 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Alexander Kerfoot · 2nd 01:02 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Cody Glass · 3rd 12:37 · 1–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (16%)
4
John Tavares · 3rd 15:09 · 1–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (16%)
5
Tyson Barrie · 3rd 18:18 · 2–3 · deflected shot, a good chance (15%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Predators win 27.
NSH 27%TOR 73%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
John Tavares · 1st 18:06 · PP · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Alexander Kerfoot · 2nd 01:02 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Cody Glass · 3rd 12:37 · PP · 1–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (16%)
4
John Tavares · 3rd 15:09 · PP · GWG · 1–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (16%)
5
Tyson Barrie · 3rd 18:18 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 2–3
Deflected shot, a good chance (15%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
31/34 saves · 3 GA · 3.7 xGA
Stopped 0.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
23/25 saves · 2 GA · 2.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.