Nashville Predators
NSH · 38-29-8
6–1
FinalW
St. Louis Blues
STL · 35-35-6
1ST2ND3RDT
NSH
210210215635
STL
0301514122
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the season series is tied 2–2
NSH 38-29-8 · STL 35-35-6 · Meeting 4 this season — the season series is tied 2–2
Predators beat the Blues
The Predators earned it: 2.8 expected goals to 2.1, and a 6–1 win to show for it. Thomas Greiss allowed 3.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Predators created the better chances: 2.8 expected goals to 2.1, on 35 and 22 shots on goal.
NSH 2.8 xG · 35 shots
STL 2.1 xG · 22 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.8 · 0.2
2nd
1.1 · 1.6
3rd
0.9 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Tommy Novak · 1st 04:46 · 1–0 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Cody Glass · 1st 07:20 · 2–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Colton Sissons · 2nd 07:36 · 3–0 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Luke Evangelista · 2nd 13:27 · 4–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
5
Calle Rosen · 3rd 08:36 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
6
Yakov Trenin · 3rd 11:49 · 5–1 · deflected shot on a rebound, a good chance (13%)
7
Philip Tomasino · 3rd 18:06 · 6–1 · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Predators win 61.
NSH 61%STL 39%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Tommy Novak · 1st 04:46 · 1–0
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Cody Glass · 1st 07:20 · PP · GWG · 2–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Colton Sissons · 2nd 07:36 · SH · 3–0
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Luke Evangelista · 2nd 13:27 · 4–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
5
Calle Rosen · 3rd 08:36 · 4–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
6
Yakov Trenin · 3rd 11:49 · 5–1
Deflected shot on a rebound, a good chance (13%)
7
Philip Tomasino · 3rd 18:06 · PP · 6–1
Deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
21/22 saves · 1 GA · 2.1 xGA
Stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
29/35 saves · 6 GA · 2.8 xGA
Allowed 3.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.