NSH
3–2
VGK
Final / OT · W
Nashville Predators
NSH · 39-30-8
3–2
Final / OTW
Vegas Golden Knights
VGK · 48-22-8
1ST2ND3RDOTT
NSH
212050812327
VGK
0142120600232
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Predators trail the season series 1–2
NSH 39-30-8 · VGK 48-22-8 · Meeting 3 this season — the Predators trail the season series 1–2
Predators beat the Golden Knights
The Predators were outchanced (4.0 to 2.5 expected goals) but won it in overtime on Glass's goal anyway. Kevin Lankinen stopped 2.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Golden Knights created the better chances: 4.0 expected goals to 2.5, on 32 and 27 shots on goal.
NSH 2.5 xG · 27 shots
VGK 4.0 xG · 32 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.4 · 1.9
2nd · the swing
0.4 · 1.5
3rd
0.4 · 0.5
OT
0.2 · 0.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Tommy Novak · 1st 06:50 · 1–0 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Tommy Novak · 1st 13:08 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Alex Pietrangelo · 2nd 06:00 · 2–1 · deflected shot on a rebound, a good chance (12%)
4
Alex Pietrangelo · 2nd 13:39 · 2–2 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
5
Cody Glass · OT 03:30 · 3–2 · deflected shot, a good chance (12%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Predators win 28.
NSH 28%VGK 72%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Predators shoot this way
Golden Knights shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Tommy Novak · 1st 06:50 · 1–0
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Tommy Novak · 1st 13:08 · PP · 2–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Alex Pietrangelo · 2nd 06:00 · 2–1
Deflected shot on a rebound, a good chance (12%)
4
Alex Pietrangelo · 2nd 13:39 · 2–2
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
5
Cody Glass · OT 03:30 · PP · GWG · 3–2
Deflected shot, a good chance (12%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
30/32 saves · 2 GA · 4.0 xGA
Stopped 2.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
24/27 saves · 3 GA · 2.5 xGA
Allowed 0.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
