Nashville Predators
NSH · 40-30-8
3–0
FinalW
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 50-19-9
1ST2ND3RDT
NSH
280619323
CAR
01401207033
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Predators lead the season series 2–0
NSH 40-30-8 · CAR 50-19-9 · Meeting 2 this season — the Predators lead the season series 2–0
Predators beat the Hurricanes
The Predators were outchanced (2.5 to 1.8 expected goals) but won 3–0 anyway. Juuse Saros stopped 2.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 2.5 expected goals to 1.8, on 33 and 23 shots on goal.
NSH 1.8 xG · 23 shots
CAR 2.5 xG · 33 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.7 · 1.2
2nd
0.6 · 1.0
3rd
0.5 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mark Jankowski · 1st 07:47 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Michael McCarron · 1st 10:47 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Dante Fabbro · 3rd 17:16 · 3–0 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Predators win 36.
NSH 36%CAR 64%
Goals and penalties
3 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mark Jankowski · 1st 07:47 · SH · GWG · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Michael McCarron · 1st 10:47 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Dante Fabbro · 3rd 17:16 · EN · 3–0
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
33/33 saves · 0 GA · 2.5 xGA
Stopped 2.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
20/22 saves · 2 GA · 1.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.