NSH
4–3
MIN
Final / OT · W
Nashville Predators
NSH · 42-31-8
4–3
Final / OTW
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 46-25-11
1ST2ND3RDOTT
NSH
2120111612431
MIN
151811001324
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Predators lead the season series 2–1
NSH 42-31-8 · MIN 46-25-11 · Meeting 3 this season — the Predators lead the season series 2–1
Predators beat the Wild
The Predators earned it: 3.2 expected goals to 2.6, and they won it in overtime on Parssinen's goal. The Predators owned the 1st period, 1.4 to 0.4 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Predators created the better chances: 3.2 expected goals to 2.6, on 31 and 24 shots on goal.
NSH 3.2 xG · 31 shots
MIN 2.6 xG · 24 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
1.4 · 0.4
2nd
0.9 · 1.0
3rd
0.7 · 1.2
OT
0.2 · 0.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mark Jankowski · 1st 08:02 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Frederick Gaudreau · 1st 14:19 · 1–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Kiefer Sherwood · 1st 16:19 · 2–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (18%)
4
Frederick Gaudreau · 2nd 10:46 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a great chance (36%)
5
Yakov Trenin · 3rd 14:04 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Nic Petan · 3rd 14:20 · 3–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (11%)
7
Juuso Parssinen · OT 02:44 · 4–3 · between legs shot, a good chance (12%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Predators win 59.
NSH 59%MIN 41%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Predators shoot this way
Wild shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mark Jankowski · 1st 08:02 · SH · 1–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Frederick Gaudreau · 1st 14:19 · 1–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Kiefer Sherwood · 1st 16:19 · 2–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (18%)
4
Frederick Gaudreau · 2nd 10:46 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a great chance (36%)
5
Yakov Trenin · 3rd 14:04 · 3–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Nic Petan · 3rd 14:20 · 3–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (11%)
7
Juuso Parssinen · OT 02:44 · GWG · 4–3
Between legs shot, a good chance (12%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
21/24 saves · 3 GA · 2.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
27/31 saves · 4 GA · 3.2 xGA
Allowed 0.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
