NSH
1–6
EDM
Final · L
Nashville Predators
NSH · 1-3-0
1–6
FinalL
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 1-2-0
1ST2ND3RDT
NSH
015119010144
EDM
41121405630
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Predators trail the season series 0–1
NSH 1-3-0 · EDM 1-2-0 · First meeting this season — the Predators trail the season series 0–1
Predators fell to the Oilers
Chances were even (3.2 to 3.2 expected goals); the Predators lost 1–6. Juuse Saros allowed 2.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.2 expected goals to 3.2, on 44 and 30 shots on goal.
NSH 3.2 xG · 44 shots
EDM 3.2 xG · 30 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.0 · 1.3
2nd
1.4 · 0.9
3rd
0.8 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Leon Draisaitl · 1st 08:11 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Zach Hyman · 1st 13:38 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · 1st 16:45 · 0–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Connor McDavid · 1st 17:46 · 0–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Tommy Novak · 2nd 02:08 · 1–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Leon Draisaitl · 2nd 07:53 · 1–5 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Warren Foegele · 2nd 15:27 · 1–6 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Predators win 50.
NSH 50%EDM 50%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Predators shoot this way
Oilers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Leon Draisaitl · 1st 08:11 · PP · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Zach Hyman · 1st 13:38 · GWG · 0–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · 1st 16:45 · 0–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Connor McDavid · 1st 17:46 · 0–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Tommy Novak · 2nd 02:08 · PP · 1–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Leon Draisaitl · 2nd 07:53 · PP · 1–5
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Warren Foegele · 2nd 15:27 · 1–6
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
No penalties
Goaltending
17/19 saves · 2 GA · 1.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
7/11 saves · 4 GA · 1.3 xGA
Allowed 2.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
