NSH
5–1
SJS
Final · W
Nashville Predators
NSH · 3-3-0
5–1
FinalW
San Jose Sharks
SJS · 0-4-1
1ST2ND3RDT
NSH
19212213534
SJS
01101318132
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Predators lead the season series 1–0
NSH 3-3-0 · SJS 0-4-1 · First meeting this season — the Predators lead the season series 1–0
Predators beat the Sharks
The Predators earned it: 3.9 expected goals to 1.9, and a 5–1 win to show for it. Mackenzie Blackwood allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Predators created the better chances: 3.9 expected goals to 1.9, on 34 and 32 shots on goal.
NSH 3.9 xG · 34 shots
SJS 1.9 xG · 32 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.6 · 0.4
2nd
1.5 · 0.7
3rd · the swing
1.8 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
· 1st 17:15 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Tommy Novak · 2nd 02:06 · 2–0 · tip in shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Kiefer Sherwood · 2nd 02:18 · 3–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Tommy Novak · 3rd 02:49 · 4–0 · snap shot, a good chance (24%)
5
Tomas Hertl · 3rd 10:34 · 4–1 · snap shot, a great chance (32%)
6
Luke Evangelista · 3rd 13:26 · 5–1 · wrist shot off the rush, a great chance (34%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Predators win 80.
NSH 80%SJS 20%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Predators shoot this way
Sharks shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
· 1st 17:15 · PP · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Tommy Novak · 2nd 02:06 · GWG · 2–0
Tip in shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Kiefer Sherwood · 2nd 02:18 · 3–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Tommy Novak · 3rd 02:49 · PP · 4–0
Snap shot, a good chance (24%)
5
Tomas Hertl · 3rd 10:34 · 4–1
Snap shot, a great chance (32%)
6
Luke Evangelista · 3rd 13:26 · 5–1
Wrist shot off the rush, a great chance (34%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
31/32 saves · 1 GA · 1.9 xGA
Stopped 0.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
29/34 saves · 5 GA · 3.9 xGA
Allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
