Nashville Predators
NSH · 4-4-0
3–2
Final / OTW
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 5-2-1
1ST2ND3RDOTT
NSH
16190811324
TOR
11211301000235
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Predators lead the season series 1–0
NSH 4-4-0 · TOR 5-2-1 · First meeting this season — the Predators lead the season series 1–0
Predators beat the Maple Leafs
Chances were even (2.5 to 2.8 expected goals); the Predators won it in overtime on Josi's goal. The Predators scored 2 power-play goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.5 expected goals to 2.8, on 24 and 35 shots on goal.
NSH 2.5 xG · 24 shots
TOR 2.8 xG · 35 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.5 · 1.1
2nd
0.9 · 0.7
3rd
0.8 · 1.0
OT
0.3 · 0.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
William Nylander · 1st 13:32 · 0–1 · slap shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Ryan O'Reilly · 1st 15:05 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Mark Giordano · 2nd 12:46 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Ryan O'Reilly · 2nd 15:08 · 2–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Roman Josi · OT 02:13 · 3–2 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Predators win 45.
NSH 45%TOR 55%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
William Nylander · 1st 13:32 · PP · 0–1
Slap shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Ryan O'Reilly · 1st 15:05 · PP · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Mark Giordano · 2nd 12:46 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Ryan O'Reilly · 2nd 15:08 · PP · 2–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Roman Josi · OT 02:13 · GWG · 3–2
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
33/35 saves · 2 GA · 2.8 xGA
Stopped 0.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
21/24 saves · 3 GA · 2.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.