NSH
4–2
CHI
Final · W
Nashville Predators
NSH · 6-10-0
4–2
FinalW
Chicago Blackhawks
CHI · 5-10-0
1ST2ND3RDT
NSH
21211118431
CHI
0919113231
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Predators lead the season series 1–0
NSH 6-10-0 · CHI 5-10-0 · First meeting this season — the Predators lead the season series 1–0
Predators beat the Blackhawks
The Predators earned it: 3.2 expected goals to 2.4, and a 4–2 win to show for it. An empty-net goal padded the final score; it was a one-goal game until then.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Predators created the better chances: 3.2 expected goals to 2.4, on 31 and 31 shots on goal.
NSH 3.2 xG · 31 shots
CHI 2.4 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.5 · 0.8
2nd
1.2 · 0.8
3rd
0.5 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Yakov Trenin · 1st 12:07 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Gustav Nyquist · 1st 18:32 · 2–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (56%)
3
Philipp Kurashev · 2nd 13:05 · 2–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (53%)
4
Cole Smith · 2nd 16:20 · 3–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Tyler Johnson · 3rd 12:15 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
Cole Smith · 3rd 19:48 · 4–2 · wrist shot off the rush, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Predators win 63.
NSH 63%CHI 37%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Predators shoot this way
Blackhawks shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Yakov Trenin · 1st 12:07 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Gustav Nyquist · 1st 18:32 · PP · 2–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (56%)
3
Philipp Kurashev · 2nd 13:05 · 2–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (53%)
4
Cole Smith · 2nd 16:20 · GWG · 3–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Tyler Johnson · 3rd 12:15 · 3–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
Cole Smith · 3rd 19:48 · EN · 4–2
Wrist shot off the rush, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
4
Philip Tomasino, Michael McCarron · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3–1
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
29/31 saves · 2 GA · 2.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
27/30 saves · 3 GA · 3.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
