NSH
4–2
CGY
Final · W
Nashville Predators
NSH · 8-10-0
4–2
FinalW
Calgary Flames
CGY · 7-9-3
1ST2ND3RDT
NSH
216014215445
CGY
1130419226
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
NSH 8-10-0 · CGY 7-9-3 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Predators beat the Flames
The Predators earned it: 4.4 expected goals to 2.6, and a 4–2 win to show for it. The Predators owned the 2nd period, 1.4 to 0.4 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Predators created the better chances: 4.4 expected goals to 2.6, on 45 and 26 shots on goal.
NSH 4.4 xG · 45 shots
CGY 2.6 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
1.4 · 1.1
2nd · the swing
1.4 · 0.4
3rd
1.6 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Colton Sissons · 1st 02:33 · 1–0 · slap shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Noah Hanifin · 1st 04:46 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
3
Ryan O'Reilly · 1st 11:23 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
4
Alexandre Carrier · 3rd 11:56 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Juuso Parssinen · 3rd 17:22 · 4–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Yegor Sharangovich · 3rd 19:15 · 4–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (21%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Predators win 75.
NSH 75%CGY 25%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Predators shoot this way
Flames shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Colton Sissons · 1st 02:33 · SH · 1–0
Slap shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Noah Hanifin · 1st 04:46 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
3
Ryan O'Reilly · 1st 11:23 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
4
Alexandre Carrier · 3rd 11:56 · GWG · 3–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Juuso Parssinen · 3rd 17:22 · PP · 4–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Yegor Sharangovich · 3rd 19:15 · SH · 4–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (21%)
1st period
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
4
Unassisted · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3–1
No penalties
Goaltending
24/26 saves · 2 GA · 2.6 xGA
Stopped 0.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
41/45 saves · 4 GA · 4.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
