NSH
3–2
PIT
Final / OT · W
Nashville Predators
NSH · 11-10-0
3–2
Final / OTW
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 10-10-1
1ST2ND3RDOTT
NSH
29080711325
PIT
0111141600231
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Predators lead the season series 1–0
NSH 11-10-0 · PIT 10-10-1 · First meeting this season — the Predators lead the season series 1–0
Predators beat the Penguins
Chances were even (2.7 to 3.1 expected goals); the Predators won it in overtime on Forsberg's goal. Juuse Saros stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.7 expected goals to 3.1, on 25 and 31 shots on goal.
NSH 2.7 xG · 25 shots
PIT 3.1 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.9 · 1.2
2nd · the swing
0.9 · 1.8
3rd
0.7 · 0.2
OT
0.2 · 0.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Michael McCarron · 1st 10:20 · 1–0 · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Michael McCarron · 1st 18:38 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a great chance (28%)
3
Evgeni Malkin · 2nd 05:49 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
Bryan Rust · 3rd 02:26 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Filip Forsberg · OT 00:14 · 3–2 · snap shot, a good chance (24%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Predators win 42.
NSH 42%PIT 58%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Predators shoot this way
Penguins shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Michael McCarron · 1st 10:20 · 1–0
Deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Michael McCarron · 1st 18:38 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 2–0
Wrist shot, a great chance (28%)
3
Evgeni Malkin · 2nd 05:49 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
Bryan Rust · 3rd 02:26 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Filip Forsberg · OT 00:14 · GWG · 3–2
Snap shot, a good chance (24%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
29/31 saves · 2 GA · 3.1 xGA
Stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
22/25 saves · 3 GA · 2.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
