Nashville Predators
NSH · 11-11-0
1–6
FinalL
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 7-10-4
1ST2ND3RDT
NSH
0100819127
MIN
31328110631
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Predators trail the season series 0–1
NSH 11-11-0 · MIN 7-10-4 · First meeting this season — the Predators trail the season series 0–1
Predators fell to the Wild
The Predators were outchanced (3.4 to 1.9 expected goals) and lost 1–6. Juuse Saros allowed 2.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Wild created the better chances: 3.4 expected goals to 1.9, on 31 and 27 shots on goal.
NSH 1.9 xG · 27 shots
MIN 3.4 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.6 · 1.0
2nd
0.7 · 1.1
3rd
0.6 · 1.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Connor Dewar · 1st 06:08 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
2
Jake Middleton · 1st 14:01 · 0–2 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Kirill Kaprizov · 1st 14:32 · 0–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Patrick Maroon · 2nd 01:43 · 0–4 · tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Connor Dewar · 2nd 11:12 · 0–5 · wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
6
Juuso Parssinen · 3rd 02:37 · 1–5 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
7
Connor Dewar · 3rd 09:47 · 1–6 · deflected shot, a good chance (17%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Predators win 25.
NSH 25%MIN 75%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Connor Dewar · 1st 06:08 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
2
Jake Middleton · 1st 14:01 · EXTRA ATTACKER · GWG · 0–2
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Kirill Kaprizov · 1st 14:32 · PP · 0–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Patrick Maroon · 2nd 01:43 · 0–4
Tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Connor Dewar · 2nd 11:12 · 0–5
Wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
6
Juuso Parssinen · 3rd 02:37 · 1–5
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
7
Connor Dewar · 3rd 09:47 · 1–6
Deflected shot, a good chance (17%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
14/16 saves · 2 GA · 2.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
11/15 saves · 4 GA · 1.2 xGA
Allowed 2.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.