NSH
5–1
TBL
Final · W
Nashville Predators
NSH · 14-12-0
5–1
FinalW
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 12-11-5
1ST2ND3RDT
NSH
18210212530
TBL
18014011133
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
NSH 14-12-0 · TBL 12-11-5 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Predators beat the Lightning
The Predators were outchanced (3.1 to 2.5 expected goals) but won 5–1 anyway. Juuse Saros stopped 2.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Lightning created the better chances: 3.1 expected goals to 2.5, on 33 and 30 shots on goal.
NSH 2.5 xG · 30 shots
TBL 3.1 xG · 33 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.3 · 0.7
2nd · the swing
0.5 · 1.7
3rd
0.7 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Alex Barré-Boulet · 1st 13:32 · 0–1 · slap shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Juuso Parssinen · 1st 17:14 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Filip Forsberg · 2nd 02:37 · 2–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Ryan McDonagh · 2nd 04:32 · 3–1 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
5
Roman Josi · 3rd 06:11 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
6
Yakov Trenin · 3rd 13:13 · 5–1 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Predators win 41.
NSH 41%TBL 59%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Predators shoot this way
Lightning shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Alex Barré-Boulet · 1st 13:32 · 0–1
Slap shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Juuso Parssinen · 1st 17:14 · PP · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Filip Forsberg · 2nd 02:37 · PP · GWG · 2–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Ryan McDonagh · 2nd 04:32 · 3–1
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
5
Roman Josi · 3rd 06:11 · 4–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
6
Yakov Trenin · 3rd 13:13 · EN · 5–1
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
4
Unassisted · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3–1
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
32/33 saves · 1 GA · 3.1 xGA
Stopped 2.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
25/29 saves · 4 GA · 2.5 xGA
Allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
