NSH
3–2
PHI
Final / OT · W
Nashville Predators
NSH · 16-13-0
3–2
Final / OTW
Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 15-10-3
1ST2ND3RDOTT
NSH
17150812322
PHI
01511411000239
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Predators lead the season series 1–0
NSH 16-13-0 · PHI 15-10-3 · First meeting this season — the Predators lead the season series 1–0
Predators beat the Flyers
Chances were even (2.5 to 3.0 expected goals); the Predators won it in overtime on Forsberg's goal. Juuse Saros stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.5 expected goals to 3.0, on 22 and 39 shots on goal.
NSH 2.5 xG · 22 shots
PHI 3.0 xG · 39 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.7 · 1.3
2nd
0.4 · 0.7
3rd
0.7 · 1.0
OT
0.7 · 0.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Gustav Nyquist · 1st 09:42 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Michael McCarron · 2nd 03:05 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
3
Sean Couturier · 2nd 19:35 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Travis Sanheim · 3rd 06:49 · 2–2 · snap shot, a good chance (20%)
5
Filip Forsberg · OT 00:18 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a great chance (63%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Predators win 42.
NSH 42%PHI 58%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Predators shoot this way
Flyers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Gustav Nyquist · 1st 09:42 · 1–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Michael McCarron · 2nd 03:05 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 2–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
3
Sean Couturier · 2nd 19:35 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Travis Sanheim · 3rd 06:49 · 2–2
Snap shot, a good chance (20%)
5
Filip Forsberg · OT 00:18 · GWG · 3–2
Wrist shot, a great chance (63%)
1st period
1
Alexandre Carrier, Filip Forsberg · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
1–0
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
37/39 saves · 2 GA · 3.0 xGA
Stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
19/22 saves · 3 GA · 2.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
