NSH
3–1
WSH
Final · W
Nashville Predators
NSH · 18-13-0
3–1
FinalW
Washington Capitals
WSH · 14-9-4
1ST2ND3RDT
NSH
181619323
WSH
0411305122
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Predators lead the season series 1–0
NSH 18-13-0 · WSH 14-9-4 · First meeting this season — the Predators lead the season series 1–0
Predators beat the Capitals
The Predators were outchanced (3.8 to 1.8 expected goals) but won 3–1 anyway. Juuse Saros stopped 2.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Capitals created the better chances: 3.8 expected goals to 1.8, on 22 and 23 shots on goal.
NSH 1.8 xG · 23 shots
WSH 3.8 xG · 22 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.7 · 0.4
2nd · the swing
0.5 · 2.9
3rd
0.7 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Colton Sissons · 1st 05:03 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
2
T.J. Oshie · 2nd 05:16 · 1–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (87%)
3
Philip Tomasino · 2nd 13:26 · 2–1 · backhand shot off the rush, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Yakov Trenin · 3rd 03:41 · 3–1 · deflected shot, a good chance (15%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Predators win 20.
NSH 20%WSH 80%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties← Predators shoot this way
Capitals shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Colton Sissons · 1st 05:03 · PP · 1–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
2
T.J. Oshie · 2nd 05:16 · PP · 1–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (87%)
3
Philip Tomasino · 2nd 13:26 · GWG · 2–1
Backhand shot off the rush, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Yakov Trenin · 3rd 03:41 · 3–1
Deflected shot, a good chance (15%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
21/22 saves · 1 GA · 3.8 xGA
Stopped 2.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
20/23 saves · 3 GA · 1.8 xGA
Allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
