NSH
2–3
DAL
Final · L
Nashville Predators
NSH · 19-15-0
2–3
FinalL
Dallas Stars
DAL · 20-8-4
1ST2ND3RDT
NSH
0122702221
DAL
08016310334
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Predators trail the season series 0–1
NSH 19-15-0 · DAL 20-8-4 · First meeting this season — the Predators trail the season series 0–1
Predators fell to the Stars
The Predators let a 2–0 lead get away: the Stars came back with three unanswered goals — Smith's equalizer with 0:15 left and the goalie pulled — and won 2–3.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Stars created the better chances: 2.9 expected goals to 2.0, on 34 and 21 shots on goal.
NSH 2.0 xG · 21 shots
DAL 2.9 xG · 34 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.7 · 0.6
2nd
0.8 · 1.4
3rd
0.5 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Michael McCarron · 2nd 00:23 · 1–0 · tip in shot on a rebound, a good chance (18%)
2
Colton Sissons · 2nd 06:33 · 2–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
3
Evgenii Dadonov · 3rd 08:22 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Craig Smith · 3rd 19:45 · 2–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (10%)
5
Jani Hakanpää · 3rd 19:56 · 2–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Predators win 34.
NSH 34%DAL 66%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Predators shoot this way
Stars shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Michael McCarron · 2nd 00:23 · 1–0
Tip in shot on a rebound, a good chance (18%)
2
Colton Sissons · 2nd 06:33 · PP · 2–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
3
Evgenii Dadonov · 3rd 08:22 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Craig Smith · 3rd 19:45 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 2–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (10%)
5
Jani Hakanpää · 3rd 19:56 · GWG · 2–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
5
Unassisted · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2–3
No penalties
Goaltending
31/34 saves · 3 GA · 2.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
19/21 saves · 2 GA · 2.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
