NSH
2–5
CAR
Final · L
Nashville Predators
NSH · 19-16-0
2–5
FinalL
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 18-13-4
1ST2ND3RDT
NSH
01121709237
CAR
2931006525
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
NSH 19-16-0 · CAR 18-13-4 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Predators fell to the Hurricanes
The Predators were outchanced (4.1 to 3.4 expected goals) and lost 2–5. Juuse Saros allowed 2.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 4.1 expected goals to 3.4, on 25 and 37 shots on goal.
NSH 3.4 xG · 37 shots
CAR 4.1 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.7 · 0.8
2nd
2.0 · 1.5
3rd · the swing
0.7 · 1.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Sebastian Aho · 1st 09:50 · 0–1 · deflected shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Brent Burns · 1st 15:08 · 0–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Gustav Nyquist · 2nd 01:18 · 1–2 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
4
Andrei Svechnikov · 2nd 03:44 · 1–3 · snap shot, a great chance (33%)
5
Ryan O'Reilly · 2nd 05:08 · 2–3 · backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (28%)
6
Jack Drury · 2nd 09:56 · 2–4 · backhand shot, a great chance (45%)
7
Seth Jarvis · 2nd 17:54 · 2–5 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Predators win 40.
NSH 40%CAR 60%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Predators shoot this way
Hurricanes shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Sebastian Aho · 1st 09:50 · PP · 0–1
Deflected shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Brent Burns · 1st 15:08 · PP · 0–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Gustav Nyquist · 2nd 01:18 · 1–2
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
4
Andrei Svechnikov · 2nd 03:44 · GWG · 1–3
Snap shot, a great chance (33%)
5
Ryan O'Reilly · 2nd 05:08 · PP · 2–3
Backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (28%)
6
Jack Drury · 2nd 09:56 · 2–4
Backhand shot, a great chance (45%)
7
Seth Jarvis · 2nd 17:54 · PP · 2–5
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
No penalties
Goaltending
14/19 saves · 5 GA · 2.3 xGA
Allowed 2.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
6/6 saves · 0 GA · 1.7 xGA
Stopped 1.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
