NSH
3–6
CGY
Final · L
Nashville Predators
NSH · 21-17-1
3–6
FinalL
Calgary Flames
CGY · 17-16-5
1ST2ND3RDT
NSH
21006116332
CGY
411114114639
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Predators trail the season series 1–2
NSH 21-17-1 · CGY 17-16-5 · Meeting 3 this season — the Predators trail the season series 1–2
Predators fell to the Flames
The Predators were outchanced (4.6 to 2.6 expected goals) and lost 3–6. Juuse Saros allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Flames created the better chances: 4.6 expected goals to 2.6, on 39 and 32 shots on goal.
NSH 2.6 xG · 32 shots
CGY 4.6 xG · 39 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st · the swing
0.8 · 1.9
2nd
0.7 · 1.4
3rd
1.1 · 1.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Connor Zary · 1st 04:45 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
2
Blake Coleman · 1st 05:12 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Filip Forsberg · 1st 06:09 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
4
Nazem Kadri · 1st 07:57 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a great chance (27%)
5
Colton Sissons · 1st 15:50 · 2–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Rasmus Andersson · 1st 18:43 · 2–4 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Noah Hanifin · 2nd 19:58 · 2–5 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
8
Michael McCarron · 3rd 02:15 · 3–5 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (0%) that found a way in
9
Yegor Sharangovich · 3rd 14:04 · 3–6 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Predators win 22.
NSH 22%CGY 78%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Predators shoot this way
Flames shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Connor Zary · 1st 04:45 · PP · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
2
Blake Coleman · 1st 05:12 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Filip Forsberg · 1st 06:09 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
4
Nazem Kadri · 1st 07:57 · 1–3
Wrist shot, a great chance (27%)
5
Colton Sissons · 1st 15:50 · 2–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Rasmus Andersson · 1st 18:43 · GWG · 2–4
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Noah Hanifin · 2nd 19:58 · 2–5
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
8
Michael McCarron · 3rd 02:15 · 3–5
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (0%) that found a way in
9
Yegor Sharangovich · 3rd 14:04 · 3–6
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
1st period
1
Yegor Sharangovich, Rasmus Andersson · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
0–1
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
20/25 saves · 5 GA · 3.3 xGA
Allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
13/14 saves · 1 GA · 1.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
