Nashville Predators
NSH · 22-18-1
3–5
FinalL
Anaheim Ducks
ANA · 14-25-1
1ST2ND3RDT
NSH
011014317342
ANA
31417112533
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Predators trail the season series 0–2
NSH 22-18-1 · ANA 14-25-1 · Meeting 2 this season — the Predators trail the season series 0–2
Predators fell to the Ducks
The Predators created the better chances (3.6 to 2.8 expected goals) — and lost 3–5. Juuse Saros allowed 2.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Predators created the better chances: 3.6 expected goals to 2.8, on 42 and 33 shots on goal.
NSH 3.6 xG · 42 shots
ANA 2.8 xG · 33 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.4 · 1.0
2nd · the swing
1.1 · 0.2
3rd
2.2 · 1.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Ryan Strome · 1st 11:12 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Frank Vatrano · 1st 14:11 · 0–2 · deflected shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Mason McTavish · 1st 17:37 · 0–3 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Troy Terry · 2nd 03:05 · 0–4 · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Radko Gudas · 3rd 03:16 · 0–5 · wrap around shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
6
Alexandre Carrier · 3rd 09:45 · 1–5 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Philip Tomasino · 3rd 17:02 · 2–5 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
8
Denis Gurianov · 3rd 19:15 · 3–5 · poke shot on a rebound, a great chance (42%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Predators win 62.
NSH 62%ANA 38%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Ryan Strome · 1st 11:12 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Frank Vatrano · 1st 14:11 · 0–2
Deflected shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Mason McTavish · 1st 17:37 · PP · 0–3
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Troy Terry · 2nd 03:05 · GWG · 0–4
Deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Radko Gudas · 3rd 03:16 · 0–5
Wrap around shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
6
Alexandre Carrier · 3rd 09:45 · SH · 1–5
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Philip Tomasino · 3rd 17:02 · 2–5
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
8
Denis Gurianov · 3rd 19:15 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–5
Poke shot on a rebound, a great chance (42%)
1st period
2nd period
4
Adam Henrique, Urho Vaakanainen · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
0–4
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
28/33 saves · 5 GA · 2.8 xGA
Allowed 2.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
39/42 saves · 3 GA · 3.6 xGA
Stopped 0.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.