NSH
3–1
NYI
Final · W
Nashville Predators
NSH · 24-18-1
3–1
FinalW
New York Islanders
NYI · 19-13-10
1ST2ND3RDT
NSH
0706315328
NYI
0901016125
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Predators lead the season series 1–0
NSH 24-18-1 · NYI 19-13-10 · First meeting this season — the Predators lead the season series 1–0
Predators beat the Islanders
Chances were even (1.9 to 2.0 expected goals); the Predators won 3–1. Carrier's winner came with 0:08 left. Juuse Saros stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 1.9 expected goals to 2.0, on 28 and 25 shots on goal.
NSH 1.9 xG · 28 shots
NYI 2.0 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.7 · 0.3
2nd · the swing
0.3 · 1.2
3rd
1.0 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jean-Gabriel Pageau · 3rd 12:00 · 0–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Luke Evangelista · 3rd 15:08 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Alexandre Carrier · 3rd 19:52 · 2–1 · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Juuso Parssinen · 3rd 19:59 · 3–1 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Predators win 49.
NSH 49%NYI 51%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties← Predators shoot this way
Islanders shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jean-Gabriel Pageau · 3rd 12:00 · 0–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Luke Evangelista · 3rd 15:08 · PP · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Alexandre Carrier · 3rd 19:52 · GWG · 2–1
Deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Juuso Parssinen · 3rd 19:59 · EN · 3–1
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
3
Jeremy Lauzon, Filip Forsberg · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2–1
No penalties
Goaltending
24/25 saves · 1 GA · 2.0 xGA
Stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
25/27 saves · 2 GA · 1.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
