Nashville Predators
NSH · 27-24-2
2–4
FinalL
New Jersey Devils
NJD · 27-21-4
1ST2ND3RDT
NSH
112110010232
NJD
022112313447
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Predators trail the season series 0–1
NSH 27-24-2 · NJD 27-21-4 · First meeting this season — the Predators trail the season series 0–1
Predators fell to the Devils
The Predators were outchanced (3.7 to 2.9 expected goals) and lost 2–4. The Devils owned the 3rd period, 1.5 to 0.5 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Devils created the better chances: 3.7 expected goals to 2.9, on 47 and 32 shots on goal.
NSH 2.9 xG · 32 shots
NJD 3.7 xG · 47 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.8 · 1.3
2nd
0.7 · 0.9
3rd · the swing
0.5 · 1.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Ryan O'Reilly · 1st 04:04 · 1–0 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (31%)
2
Jack Hughes · 2nd 01:30 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Tommy Novak · 2nd 07:01 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Nico Hischier · 3rd 02:16 · 2–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (16%)
5
Timo Meier · 3rd 14:44 · 2–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (18%)
6
Nico Hischier · 3rd 19:21 · 2–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Predators win 38.
NSH 38%NJD 62%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Ryan O'Reilly · 1st 04:04 · PP · 1–0
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (31%)
2
Jack Hughes · 2nd 01:30 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Tommy Novak · 2nd 07:01 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Nico Hischier · 3rd 02:16 · 2–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (16%)
5
Timo Meier · 3rd 14:44 · GWG · 2–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (18%)
6
Nico Hischier · 3rd 19:21 · EN · 2–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
43/46 saves · 3 GA · 3.7 xGA
Stopped 0.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
30/32 saves · 2 GA · 2.9 xGA
Stopped 0.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.