NSH
2–9
DAL
Final · L
Nashville Predators
NSH · 27-25-2
2–9
FinalL
Dallas Stars
DAL · 34-14-6
1ST2ND3RDT
NSH
0122107229
DAL
41831528941
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the season series is tied 2–2
NSH 27-25-2 · DAL 34-14-6 · Meeting 4 this season — the season series is tied 2–2
Predators fell to the Stars
The Predators were outchanced (5.4 to 1.4 expected goals) and lost 2–9. Kevin Lankinen allowed 1.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Stars created the better chances: 5.4 expected goals to 1.4, on 41 and 29 shots on goal.
NSH 1.4 xG · 29 shots
DAL 5.4 xG · 41 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
1st · the swing
0.1 · 2.3
2nd
1.1 · 2.0
3rd
0.2 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Sam Steel · 1st 00:35 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Matt Duchene · 1st 04:27 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
3
Craig Smith · 1st 12:31 · 0–3 · wrist shot, a great chance (29%)
4
Wyatt Johnston · 1st 15:53 · 0–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
5
Miro Heiskanen · 2nd 04:40 · 0–5 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Cole Smith · 2nd 09:50 · 1–5 · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Tyler Seguin · 2nd 10:51 · 1–6 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (54%)
8
Tommy Novak · 2nd 11:21 · 2–6 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
9
Matt Duchene · 2nd 19:47 · 2–7 · backhand shot, a good chance (10%)
10
Ty Dellandrea · 3rd 03:50 · 2–8 · slap shot, a good chance (11%)
11
Wyatt Johnston · 3rd 08:50 · 2–9 · wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Predators win 6.
NSH 6%DAL 94%
Goals and penalties
11 goals · 0 penalties← Predators shoot this way
Stars shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Sam Steel · 1st 00:35 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Matt Duchene · 1st 04:27 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
3
Craig Smith · 1st 12:31 · GWG · 0–3
Wrist shot, a great chance (29%)
4
Wyatt Johnston · 1st 15:53 · 0–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
5
Miro Heiskanen · 2nd 04:40 · 0–5
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Cole Smith · 2nd 09:50 · 1–5
Wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Tyler Seguin · 2nd 10:51 · PP · 1–6
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (54%)
8
Tommy Novak · 2nd 11:21 · 2–6
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
9
Matt Duchene · 2nd 19:47 · 2–7
Backhand shot, a good chance (10%)
10
Ty Dellandrea · 3rd 03:50 · 2–8
Slap shot, a good chance (11%)
11
Wyatt Johnston · 3rd 08:50 · PP · 2–9
Wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
1st period
2nd period
6
Michael McCarron, Alexandre Carrier · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
1–5
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
18/23 saves · 5 GA · 3.1 xGA
Allowed 1.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
14/18 saves · 4 GA · 2.3 xGA
Allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
