NSH
4–1
OTT
Final · W
Nashville Predators
NSH · 33-25-2
4–1
FinalW
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 25-29-3
1ST2ND3RDT
NSH
2819119436
OTT
11401100125
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
NSH 33-25-2 · OTT 25-29-3 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Predators beat the Senators
The Predators earned it: 3.3 expected goals to 1.4, and a 4–1 win to show for it. The Predators owned the 3rd period, 1.7 to 0.0 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Predators created the better chances: 3.3 expected goals to 1.4, on 36 and 25 shots on goal.
NSH 3.3 xG · 36 shots
OTT 1.4 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.7 · 0.9
2nd
0.9 · 0.5
3rd · the swing
1.7 · 0.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Michael McCarron · 1st 03:23 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Roman Josi · 1st 05:44 · 2–0 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Drake Batherson · 1st 18:58 · 2–1 · slap shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Roman Josi · 2nd 18:31 · 3–1 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
5
Gustav Nyquist · 3rd 13:12 · 4–1 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (53%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Predators win 81.
NSH 81%OTT 19%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Predators shoot this way
Senators shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Michael McCarron · 1st 03:23 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Roman Josi · 1st 05:44 · PP · GWG · 2–0
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Drake Batherson · 1st 18:58 · PP · 2–1
Slap shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Roman Josi · 2nd 18:31 · 3–1
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
5
Gustav Nyquist · 3rd 13:12 · 4–1
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (53%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
24/25 saves · 1 GA · 1.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
32/36 saves · 4 GA · 3.3 xGA
Allowed 0.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
