NSH
6–1
MIN
Final · W
Nashville Predators
NSH · 34-25-2
6–1
FinalW
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 28-26-6
1ST2ND3RDT
NSH
21316312631
MIN
17010017134
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Predators lead the season series 2–1
NSH 34-25-2 · MIN 28-26-6 · Meeting 3 this season — the Predators lead the season series 2–1
Predators beat the Wild
Chances were even (2.9 to 2.5 expected goals); the Predators won 6–1. Filip Gustavsson allowed 3.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.9 expected goals to 2.5, on 31 and 34 shots on goal.
NSH 2.9 xG · 31 shots
MIN 2.5 xG · 34 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
1.5 · 0.5
2nd
0.7 · 1.1
3rd
0.7 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Connor Dewar · 1st 09:51 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Yakov Trenin · 1st 10:40 · 1–1 · deflected shot, a great chance (52%)
3
Cole Smith · 1st 10:48 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a great chance (41%)
4
Filip Forsberg · 2nd 17:55 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Roman Josi · 3rd 01:32 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Ryan O'Reilly · 3rd 08:03 · 5–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
7
Ryan McDonagh · 3rd 13:57 · 6–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Predators win 56.
NSH 56%MIN 44%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Predators shoot this way
Wild shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Connor Dewar · 1st 09:51 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Yakov Trenin · 1st 10:40 · 1–1
Deflected shot, a great chance (52%)
3
Cole Smith · 1st 10:48 · GWG · 2–1
Wrist shot, a great chance (41%)
4
Filip Forsberg · 2nd 17:55 · PP · 3–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Roman Josi · 3rd 01:32 · 4–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Ryan O'Reilly · 3rd 08:03 · 5–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
7
Ryan McDonagh · 3rd 13:57 · 6–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
33/34 saves · 1 GA · 2.5 xGA
Stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
25/31 saves · 6 GA · 2.9 xGA
Allowed 3.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
