NSH
5–1
COL
Final · W
Nashville Predators
NSH · 35-25-2
5–1
FinalW
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 37-20-5
1ST2ND3RDT
NSH
11019316535
COL
1100907126
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Predators lead the season series 2–0
NSH 35-25-2 · COL 37-20-5 · Meeting 2 this season — the Predators lead the season series 2–0
Predators beat the Avalanche
The Predators earned it: 2.8 expected goals to 1.8, and a 5–1 win to show for it. Alexandar Georgiev allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Predators created the better chances: 2.8 expected goals to 1.8, on 35 and 26 shots on goal.
NSH 2.8 xG · 35 shots
COL 1.8 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.9 · 0.5
2nd
0.8 · 0.8
3rd
1.2 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Cody Glass · 1st 15:18 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Nathan MacKinnon · 1st 17:01 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Cody Glass · 2nd 14:26 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Ryan O'Reilly · 3rd 09:46 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
5
Tommy Novak · 3rd 17:32 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Cody Glass · 3rd 19:07 · 5–1 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Predators win 68.
NSH 68%COL 32%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Predators shoot this way
Avalanche shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Cody Glass · 1st 15:18 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Nathan MacKinnon · 1st 17:01 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Cody Glass · 2nd 14:26 · GWG · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Ryan O'Reilly · 3rd 09:46 · PP · 3–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
5
Tommy Novak · 3rd 17:32 · PP · 4–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Cody Glass · 3rd 19:07 · EN · 5–1
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
25/26 saves · 1 GA · 1.8 xGA
Stopped 0.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
30/34 saves · 4 GA · 2.8 xGA
Allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
