NSH
4–2
BUF
Final · W
Nashville Predators
NSH · 36-25-3
4–2
FinalW
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 29-30-5
1ST2ND3RDT
NSH
290827424
BUF
1907112228
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Predators lead the season series 2–0
NSH 36-25-3 · BUF 29-30-5 · Meeting 2 this season — the Predators lead the season series 2–0
Predators beat the Sabres
The Predators earned it: 3.3 expected goals to 1.9, and a 4–2 win to show for it. The Predators scored 2 power-play goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Predators created the better chances: 3.3 expected goals to 1.9, on 24 and 28 shots on goal.
NSH 3.3 xG · 24 shots
BUF 1.9 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.3 · 0.8
2nd
1.1 · 0.5
3rd
0.8 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Filip Forsberg · 1st 03:53 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Bowen Byram · 1st 04:23 · 1–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Luke Evangelista · 1st 16:15 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a great chance (32%)
4
Filip Forsberg · 3rd 01:49 · 3–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Filip Forsberg · 3rd 06:43 · 4–1 · wrap around shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Owen Power · 3rd 12:52 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Predators win 72.
NSH 72%BUF 28%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Predators shoot this way
Sabres shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Filip Forsberg · 1st 03:53 · PP · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Bowen Byram · 1st 04:23 · 1–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Luke Evangelista · 1st 16:15 · PP · 2–1
Wrist shot, a great chance (32%)
4
Filip Forsberg · 3rd 01:49 · GWG · 3–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Filip Forsberg · 3rd 06:43 · 4–1
Wrap around shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Owen Power · 3rd 12:52 · 4–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
1st period
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
26/28 saves · 2 GA · 1.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
20/24 saves · 4 GA · 3.3 xGA
Allowed 0.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
