Nashville Predators
NSH · 43-25-4
5–4
Final / OTW
Vegas Golden Knights
VGK · 39-25-8
1ST2ND3RDOTT
NSH
0111153811535
VGK
3141801300435
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Predators lead the season series 2–1
NSH 43-25-4 · VGK 39-25-8 · Meeting 3 this season — the Predators lead the season series 2–1
Predators beat the Golden Knights
Down 0–3 in the 1st period, the Predators erased the deficit with five unanswered goals — Nyquist's equalizer — and won it in overtime on Josi's goal.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Predators created the better chances: 4.1 expected goals to 3.3, on 35 and 35 shots on goal.
NSH 4.1 xG · 35 shots
VGK 3.3 xG · 35 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.8 · 1.2
2nd
1.2 · 1.0
3rd
1.5 · 1.1
OT
0.5 · 0.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Ivan Barbashev · 1st 02:45 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Brett Howden · 1st 05:08 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Shea Theodore · 1st 16:43 · 0–3 · snap shot, a good chance (10%)
4
Mark Jankowski · 2nd 14:33 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
William Karlsson · 2nd 19:03 · 1–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
6
Ryan O'Reilly · 3rd 05:52 · 2–4 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (18%)
7
Filip Forsberg · 3rd 12:17 · 3–4 · poke shot on a rebound, a great chance (73%)
8
Gustav Nyquist · 3rd 12:57 · 4–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
9
Roman Josi · OT 00:40 · 5–4 · wrist shot, a great chance (55%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Predators win 61.
NSH 61%VGK 39%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Ivan Barbashev · 1st 02:45 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Brett Howden · 1st 05:08 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Shea Theodore · 1st 16:43 · 0–3
Snap shot, a good chance (10%)
4
Mark Jankowski · 2nd 14:33 · 1–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
William Karlsson · 2nd 19:03 · 1–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
6
Ryan O'Reilly · 3rd 05:52 · 2–4
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (18%)
7
Filip Forsberg · 3rd 12:17 · 3–4
Poke shot on a rebound, a great chance (73%)
8
Gustav Nyquist · 3rd 12:57 · PP · 4–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
9
Roman Josi · OT 00:40 · GWG · 5–4
Wrist shot, a great chance (55%)
1st period
1
Jack Eichel, Jonathan Marchessault · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
0–1
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
31/35 saves · 4 GA · 3.3 xGA
Allowed 0.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
30/35 saves · 5 GA · 4.1 xGA
Allowed 0.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.