NSH
6–3
STL
Final · W
Nashville Predators
NSH · 44-28-4
6–3
FinalW
St. Louis Blues
STL · 40-32-4
1ST2ND3RDT
NSH
110210311631
STL
120014213347
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Predators lead the season series 3–0
NSH 44-28-4 · STL 40-32-4 · Meeting 3 this season — the Predators lead the season series 3–0
Predators beat the Blues
The Predators were outchanced (4.9 to 3.5 expected goals) but won 6–3 anyway. Juuse Saros stopped 1.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Blues created the better chances: 4.9 expected goals to 3.5, on 47 and 31 shots on goal.
NSH 3.5 xG · 31 shots
STL 4.9 xG · 47 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st · the swing
1.0 · 2.1
2nd
1.1 · 1.7
3rd
1.4 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Roman Josi · 1st 00:31 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Brandon Saad · 1st 07:27 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Filip Forsberg · 2nd 01:13 · 2–1 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Anthony Beauvillier · 2nd 19:29 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a great chance (29%)
5
Michael McCarron · 3rd 04:09 · 4–1 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Jake Neighbours · 3rd 06:21 · 4–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Jordan Kyrou · 3rd 17:45 · 4–3 · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
8
Filip Forsberg · 3rd 18:16 · 5–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
9
Mark Jankowski · 3rd 19:23 · 6–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Predators win 31.
NSH 31%STL 69%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Predators shoot this way
Blues shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Roman Josi · 1st 00:31 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Brandon Saad · 1st 07:27 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Filip Forsberg · 2nd 01:13 · PP · 2–1
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Anthony Beauvillier · 2nd 19:29 · PP · 3–1
Wrist shot, a great chance (29%)
5
Michael McCarron · 3rd 04:09 · GWG · 4–1
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Jake Neighbours · 3rd 06:21 · 4–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Jordan Kyrou · 3rd 17:45 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 4–3
Snap shot, a good chance (11%)
8
Filip Forsberg · 3rd 18:16 · EN · 5–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
9
Mark Jankowski · 3rd 19:23 · EN · 6–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
44/47 saves · 3 GA · 4.9 xGA
Stopped 1.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
25/29 saves · 4 GA · 3.5 xGA
Allowed 0.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
