Nashville Predators
NSH · 45-29-5
3–4
Final / OTL
Winnipeg Jets
WPG · 48-24-6
1ST2ND3RDOTT
NSH
11402221200348
WPG
311050412422
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the season series is tied 2–2
NSH 45-29-5 · WPG 48-24-6 · Meeting 4 this season — the season series is tied 2–2
Predators fell to the Jets
The Predators created the better chances (4.7 to 2.5 expected goals) — and lost it in overtime on Connor's goal. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 1.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Predators created the better chances: 4.7 expected goals to 2.5, on 48 and 22 shots on goal.
NSH 4.7 xG · 48 shots
WPG 2.5 xG · 22 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
1.8 · 1.0
2nd · the swing
2.0 · 0.3
3rd
0.9 · 0.8
OT
0.0 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Tommy Novak · 1st 04:05 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a great chance (26%)
2
Gabriel Vilardi · 1st 06:51 · 1–1 · between legs shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Mark Scheifele · 1st 08:19 · 1–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (25%)
4
Dylan DeMelo · 1st 12:46 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Spencer Stastney · 3rd 07:34 · 2–3 · backhand shot, a good chance (12%)
6
Ryan O'Reilly · 3rd 09:41 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
7
Kyle Connor · OT 01:52 · 3–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Predators win 79.
NSH 79%WPG 21%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Tommy Novak · 1st 04:05 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a great chance (26%)
2
Gabriel Vilardi · 1st 06:51 · PP · 1–1
Between legs shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Mark Scheifele · 1st 08:19 · 1–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (25%)
4
Dylan DeMelo · 1st 12:46 · 1–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Spencer Stastney · 3rd 07:34 · 2–3
Backhand shot, a good chance (12%)
6
Ryan O'Reilly · 3rd 09:41 · 3–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
7
Kyle Connor · OT 01:52 · GWG · 3–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
1st period
2
Mark Scheifele, Josh Morrissey · between legs shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
1–1
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
18/22 saves · 4 GA · 2.5 xGA
Allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
45/48 saves · 3 GA · 4.7 xGA
Stopped 1.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.