NSH
3–4
VAN
Final / OT · L
Nashville Predators
NSH · 1-3
3–4
Final / OTL
Vancouver Canucks
VAN · 3-1
1ST2ND3RDOTT
NSH
1911011100330
VAN
18062611421
goals · shots on goal
Game 4 — the Predators trail the series 1–3
NSH 1-3 · VAN 3-1 · Game 4 — the Predators trail the series 1–3
Predators fell to the Canucks
The Predators let a 3–1 lead get away: the Canucks came back with three unanswered goals — Boeser's equalizer with 0:08 left and the goalie pulled — and won it in overtime on Lindholm's goal. Juuse Saros allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.4 expected goals to 2.5, on 30 and 21 shots on goal.
NSH 2.4 xG · 30 shots
VAN 2.5 xG · 21 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.7 · 0.4
2nd
0.6 · 1.1
3rd
1.1 · 0.8
OT
0.0 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Brock Boeser · 1st 02:55 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Mark Jankowski · 1st 05:34 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Gustav Nyquist · 2nd 05:21 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
4
Filip Forsberg · 3rd 00:12 · 3–1 · deflected shot, a great chance (35%)
5
Brock Boeser · 3rd 17:11 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Brock Boeser · 3rd 19:52 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a great chance (29%)
7
Elias Lindholm · OT 01:02 · 3–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Predators win 48.
NSH 48%VAN 52%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Predators shoot this way
Canucks shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Brock Boeser · 1st 02:55 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Mark Jankowski · 1st 05:34 · 1–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Gustav Nyquist · 2nd 05:21 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
4
Filip Forsberg · 3rd 00:12 · 3–1
Deflected shot, a great chance (35%)
5
Brock Boeser · 3rd 17:11 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Brock Boeser · 3rd 19:52 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–3
Wrist shot, a great chance (29%)
7
Elias Lindholm · OT 01:02 · GWG · 3–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
17/21 saves · 4 GA · 2.5 xGA
Allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
27/30 saves · 3 GA · 2.4 xGA
Allowed 0.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
