NSH
3–4
DAL
Final · L
Nashville Predators
NSH · 0-1-0
3–4
FinalL
Dallas Stars
DAL · 1-0-0
1ST2ND3RDT
NSH
08113215336
DAL
044709420
goals · shots on goal
Season opener for both teams
·First meeting this season — the Predators trail the season series 0–1
NSH 0-1-0 · DAL 1-0-0 · First meeting this season — the Predators trail the season series 0–1
Predators fell to the Stars
The Predators created the better chances (3.8 to 1.8 expected goals) — and lost 3–4. Scott Wedgewood allowed 2.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Predators created the better chances: 3.8 expected goals to 1.8, on 36 and 20 shots on goal.
NSH 3.8 xG · 36 shots
DAL 1.8 xG · 20 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.6 · 0.4
2nd
1.3 · 0.5
3rd · the swing
1.9 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Roope Hintz · 2nd 02:05 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Jason Robertson · 2nd 02:24 · 0–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Filip Forsberg · 2nd 03:30 · 1–2 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Mason Marchment · 2nd 08:03 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Mason Marchment · 2nd 18:15 · 1–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
6
Tommy Novak · 3rd 04:37 · 2–4 · backhand shot, a good chance (19%)
7
Ryan O'Reilly · 3rd 18:25 · 3–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Predators win 80.
NSH 80%DAL 20%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Predators shoot this way
Stars shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Roope Hintz · 2nd 02:05 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Jason Robertson · 2nd 02:24 · 0–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Filip Forsberg · 2nd 03:30 · PP · 1–2
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Mason Marchment · 2nd 08:03 · PP · 1–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Mason Marchment · 2nd 18:15 · GWG · 1–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
6
Tommy Novak · 3rd 04:37 · 2–4
Backhand shot, a good chance (19%)
7
Ryan O'Reilly · 3rd 18:25 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
16/20 saves · 4 GA · 1.8 xGA
Allowed 2.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
33/36 saves · 3 GA · 3.8 xGA
Stopped 0.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
