NSH
2–4
EDM
Final · L
Nashville Predators
NSH · 0-4-0
2–4
FinalL
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 2-3-0
1ST2ND3RDT
NSH
1717013227
EDM
11521318436
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Predators trail the season series 0–1
NSH 0-4-0 · EDM 2-3-0 · First meeting this season — the Predators trail the season series 0–1
Predators fell to the Oilers
The Predators were outchanced (2.9 to 2.0 expected goals) and lost 2–4. An empty-net goal padded the final score; it was a one-goal game until then.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Oilers created the better chances: 2.9 expected goals to 2.0, on 36 and 27 shots on goal.
NSH 2.0 xG · 27 shots
EDM 2.9 xG · 36 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.9 · 0.9
2nd · the swing
0.5 · 1.2
3rd
0.6 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Filip Forsberg · 1st 11:46 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Brett Kulak · 1st 17:39 · 1–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
· 2nd 10:50 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a great chance (30%)
4
Jonathan Marchessault · 2nd 17:45 · 2–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Connor McDavid · 2nd 18:29 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
6
Brett Kulak · 3rd 19:24 · 2–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Predators win 34.
NSH 34%EDM 66%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Predators shoot this way
Oilers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Filip Forsberg · 1st 11:46 · 1–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Brett Kulak · 1st 17:39 · 1–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
· 2nd 10:50 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a great chance (30%)
4
Jonathan Marchessault · 2nd 17:45 · PP · 2–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Connor McDavid · 2nd 18:29 · GWG · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
6
Brett Kulak · 3rd 19:24 · EN · 2–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
32/35 saves · 3 GA · 2.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
25/27 saves · 2 GA · 2.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
