Nashville Predators
NSH · 0-5-0
2–5
FinalL
Detroit Red Wings
DET · 2-3-0
1ST2ND3RDT
NSH
111012116239
DET
1111637524
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Predators trail the season series 0–2
NSH 0-5-0 · DET 2-3-0 · Meeting 2 this season — the Predators trail the season series 0–2
Predators fell to the Red Wings
The Predators created the better chances (3.2 to 2.4 expected goals) — and lost 2–5. Alex Lyon stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Predators created the better chances: 3.2 expected goals to 2.4, on 39 and 24 shots on goal.
NSH 3.2 xG · 39 shots
DET 2.4 xG · 24 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.4 · 0.8
2nd
0.9 · 1.0
3rd · the swing
1.9 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Luke Schenn · 1st 08:48 · 1–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
2
Vladimir Tarasenko · 1st 13:26 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
3
Dylan Larkin · 2nd 03:17 · 1–2 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (40%)
4
Steven Stamkos · 3rd 00:32 · 2–2 · slap shot, a good chance (10%)
5
Andrew Copp · 3rd 03:29 · 2–3 · deflected shot, a good chance (22%)
6
Simon Edvinsson · 3rd 18:43 · 2–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
7
Andrew Copp · 3rd 19:18 · 2–5 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Predators win 64.
NSH 64%DET 36%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Luke Schenn · 1st 08:48 · 1–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
2
Vladimir Tarasenko · 1st 13:26 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
3
Dylan Larkin · 2nd 03:17 · PP · 1–2
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (40%)
4
Steven Stamkos · 3rd 00:32 · PP · 2–2
Slap shot, a good chance (10%)
5
Andrew Copp · 3rd 03:29 · GWG · 2–3
Deflected shot, a good chance (22%)
6
Simon Edvinsson · 3rd 18:43 · EN · 2–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
7
Andrew Copp · 3rd 19:18 · EN · 2–5
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
19/22 saves · 3 GA · 2.4 xGA
Allowed 0.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
37/39 saves · 2 GA · 3.2 xGA
Stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.