Nashville Predators
NSH · 3-6-1
1–5
FinalL
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 5-5-1
1ST2ND3RDT
NSH
11001007127
EDM
2151529529
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Predators trail the season series 0–2
NSH 3-6-1 · EDM 5-5-1 · Meeting 2 this season — the Predators trail the season series 0–2
Predators fell to the Oilers
Chances were even (2.1 to 2.5 expected goals); the Predators lost 1–5. Juuse Saros allowed 2.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.1 expected goals to 2.5, on 27 and 29 shots on goal.
NSH 2.1 xG · 27 shots
EDM 2.5 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
1st · the swing
0.8 · 1.6
2nd
0.7 · 0.5
3rd
0.5 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Viktor Arvidsson · 1st 00:37 · 0–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Filip Forsberg · 1st 05:05 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Corey Perry · 1st 09:54 · 1–2 · backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (34%)
4
Leon Draisaitl · 2nd 09:03 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Leon Draisaitl · 3rd 01:48 · 1–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Zach Hyman · 3rd 12:46 · 1–5 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Predators win 43.
NSH 43%EDM 57%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Viktor Arvidsson · 1st 00:37 · 0–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Filip Forsberg · 1st 05:05 · PP · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Corey Perry · 1st 09:54 · GWG · 1–2
Backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (34%)
4
Leon Draisaitl · 2nd 09:03 · 1–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Leon Draisaitl · 3rd 01:48 · 1–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Zach Hyman · 3rd 12:46 · 1–5
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
24/29 saves · 5 GA · 2.5 xGA
Allowed 2.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
26/27 saves · 1 GA · 2.1 xGA
Stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.