NSH
5–2
COL
Final · W
Nashville Predators
NSH · 4-6-1
5–2
FinalW
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 5-7-0
1ST2ND3RDT
NSH
01125310526
COL
08112111231
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Predators lead the season series 1–0
NSH 4-6-1 · COL 5-7-0 · First meeting this season — the Predators lead the season series 1–0
Predators beat the Avalanche
Chances were even (2.4 to 2.7 expected goals); the Predators won 5–2. The Predators scored 2 power-play goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.4 expected goals to 2.7, on 26 and 31 shots on goal.
NSH 2.4 xG · 26 shots
COL 2.7 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.1 · 0.6
2nd · the swing
0.7 · 1.5
3rd
0.7 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Cale Makar · 2nd 02:54 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Steven Stamkos · 2nd 08:31 · 1–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Colton Sissons · 2nd 18:40 · 2–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Roman Josi · 3rd 05:15 · 3–1 · slap shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 17:43 · 3–2 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
6
Filip Forsberg · 3rd 18:46 · 4–2 · wrist shot off the rush, into an empty net
7
Gustav Nyquist · 3rd 19:19 · 5–2 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Predators win 46.
NSH 46%COL 54%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Predators shoot this way
Avalanche shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Cale Makar · 2nd 02:54 · PP · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Steven Stamkos · 2nd 08:31 · PP · 1–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Colton Sissons · 2nd 18:40 · 2–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Roman Josi · 3rd 05:15 · PP · GWG · 3–1
Slap shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 17:43 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–2
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
6
Filip Forsberg · 3rd 18:46 · EN · 4–2
Wrist shot off the rush, into an empty net
7
Gustav Nyquist · 3rd 19:19 · EN · 5–2
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
1
Casey Mittelstadt, Nathan MacKinnon · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
0–1
3
Marc Del Gaizo, Zachary L'Heureux · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2–1
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
29/31 saves · 2 GA · 2.7 xGA
Stopped 0.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
21/24 saves · 3 GA · 2.4 xGA
Allowed 0.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
