NSH
4–1
WPG
Final · W
Nashville Predators
NSH · 7-11-3
4–1
FinalW
Winnipeg Jets
WPG · 17-4-0
1ST2ND3RDT
NSH
15018313436
WPG
091807124
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Predators lead the season series 1–0
NSH 7-11-3 · WPG 17-4-0 · First meeting this season — the Predators lead the season series 1–0
Predators beat the Jets
Chances were even (2.7 to 3.0 expected goals); the Predators won 4–1. Juuse Saros stopped 2.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.7 expected goals to 3.0, on 36 and 24 shots on goal.
NSH 2.7 xG · 36 shots
WPG 3.0 xG · 24 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
0.3 · 1.1
2nd
1.1 · 1.2
3rd
1.3 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Roman Josi · 1st 09:55 · 1–0 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Adam Lowry · 2nd 09:58 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a great chance (67%)
3
Steven Stamkos · 3rd 03:20 · 2–1 · slap shot, a good chance (19%)
4
Jonathan Marchessault · 3rd 05:04 · 3–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (25%)
5
Roman Josi · 3rd 18:40 · 4–1 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Predators win 45.
NSH 45%WPG 55%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Predators shoot this way
Jets shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Roman Josi · 1st 09:55 · 1–0
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Adam Lowry · 2nd 09:58 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a great chance (67%)
3
Steven Stamkos · 3rd 03:20 · PP · GWG · 2–1
Slap shot, a good chance (19%)
4
Jonathan Marchessault · 3rd 05:04 · 3–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (25%)
5
Roman Josi · 3rd 18:40 · EN · 4–1
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
1
Jonathan Marchessault, Mark Jankowski · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
1–0
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
23/24 saves · 1 GA · 3.0 xGA
Stopped 2.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
32/35 saves · 3 GA · 2.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
