NSH
2–3
TBL
Final / OT · L
Nashville Predators
NSH · 7-12-5
2–3
Final / OTL
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 12-8-2
1ST2ND3RDOTT
NSH
1101120900231
TBL
072801112328
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Predators trail the season series 0–2
NSH 7-12-5 · TBL 12-8-2 · Meeting 2 this season — the Predators trail the season series 0–2
Predators fell to the Lightning
The Predators were outchanced (2.7 to 1.9 expected goals) and lost it in overtime on Point's goal.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Lightning created the better chances: 2.7 expected goals to 1.9, on 28 and 31 shots on goal.
NSH 1.9 xG · 31 shots
TBL 2.7 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.6 · 0.4
2nd
0.7 · 1.1
3rd
0.6 · 0.9
OT
0.0 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Roman Josi · 1st 01:23 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
2
Anthony Cirelli · 2nd 04:06 · 1–1 · bat shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Brandon Hagel · 2nd 08:18 · 1–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Roman Josi · 2nd 11:20 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Brayden Point · OT 01:01 · 2–3 · backhand shot, a good chance (11%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Predators win 37.
NSH 37%TBL 63%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Predators shoot this way
Lightning shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Roman Josi · 1st 01:23 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
2
Anthony Cirelli · 2nd 04:06 · SH · 1–1
Bat shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Brandon Hagel · 2nd 08:18 · 1–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Roman Josi · 2nd 11:20 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Brayden Point · OT 01:01 · PP · GWG · 2–3
Backhand shot, a good chance (11%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
25/28 saves · 3 GA · 2.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
29/31 saves · 2 GA · 1.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
